Među vama 2 zdravog razuma nema ni na vidiku.

https://medium.com/i-math/that-common-misconception-about-probabilities-3c507b892371

That’s a 37.5% chance of tossing a combination of 2 heads and 2 tails, which is far greater than the probability of tossing all heads or all tails (which remains 6.25% each since there is only one permutation of each in our sample space).

This is why we intuitively know it is more likely to flip an equal number of heads and tails, than to flip all of one kind, while still maintaining the fact that the events are independent with individual tosses and permutations equally likely to occur.

Prije 4-5 godina ili kad je već bilo prvo izvlačenje, vjerojatnost da će Hajduk idućih 6 utakmica bit gost je bila 0.5 na šestu

Prije svakog izvlačenja je vjerojatnost da će bit gost 0.5

To je sva filozofija

Vi svi nabrajate šta Ian nema, a imam neki osjećaj

kako čovjek hoće reći kako je pun ko brod i stoga mu

nije jasna vjerojatnost da ga taj papak prešiša?

Jer ako ćemo prema onom grafitu što je dugo vremena

bio na jednom zidu u Splitu onda važi;

"Ne jebu momci nego novci!" 

😂

Yes, that’s right. It’s equally likely to flip ten heads followed by a tail as it is to flip eleven heads in a row. In fact, because the individual probability of flipping heads is the same as the probability of flipping tails, each arrangement of 11 coin tosses will result in the same likelihood of 0.0005. Every arrangement is equally likely.

Upravo si pokazao što pokušavam objasniti.

Bartolec blizu potpisa, na ljeto bi stigao